Tuesday, March 3, 2009

Election 2009

I was very elated when BJP was elected to rule Karnataka a few months back. For one, Karnataka has been ruled by both Congress and Janata dal, both parties did nothing worthwhile. They were both disappointing, sometimes outright stupid. On the other hand BJP was a fresh option, with promising fresh ideas and fresh ways to do things. So personally though I was unable to cast my vote, I was happy for my state and my people. May be there will be a change, a positive one.
Unfortunately my optimism is misplaced. There are numerous allegations of corruption like the one involving real estate lobby and the Bangalore master plan, some mining company and its gross violations, transfers for money all that were very well features of the past governments, BJP being no different. The worst part of the whole process however is the aggression of fringe Hindutva groups.


I have been a passive supporter of Hindutva, not because it appeals to me and I believe in all their ideas, but that the other voices – the voice of centre and centre-left leaves me very uncomfortable. The centre-leftish groups in India are the most vocal, followed by the Hindutva voice. Unfortunately I do not identify myself with the centre-left because for them, I being a part of majority am less worthy than a minority who votes en-block for these parties. Therefore they are not ready to listen to me, they do not want people like me to unite, they always support ideas that are in sync with their ideologies. For them, Ramayana is just a poem but Quran/ Bible is extremely holy. If a non-hindu criticise Rama, Krishna or any other mythical holy men, it is freedom of speech, human rights etc. If a Hindu criticises a non-hindu holy man, holy symbol etc, it is gross violation of minority rights. So while M F Hussain’s filthy pictures constitute an artist’s freedom of expression, Rushdie’s ‘Satanic Verses’ and Taslima Nasreen’s “Lajja” are banned because they hurt minority sentiments. So their logic here seems to be that hurting majority sentiments is fine as long as the minority sentiments are unaffected. I can see it plain and clear that there is no level playing field in India when it comes to non-Hindus vis-à-vis Hindus. As a Hindu with rights to no other land but India, as a Hindu whose forefathers withstood persecutions for being Hindus remained Hindus and paid hefty price doing so, as a Hindu who has struggled to protect the culture and civilisation for centuries, I feel extremely marginalised and threatened.
Reading the English language new papers like The Hindu, Asian Age, Times of India, and watching the news media based out of Delhi, my feeling of marginalisation has aggravated. I know most of these folks at JNU, ACJ who eventually populate media, are hotbed promoting this kind of thinking. In fact these institutions do not encourage original thought, curiosity and questioning; they merely promote a particular way of thought. So promoted is the idea that hurting majority is ok as long as minorities are ok. It has hence become intellectually fashionable as well. So much for the quote that hangs everywhere in JNU, “A University stands for humanism, for tolerance, for reason, for adventures of ideas, and for the search of truth. It stands for the onward march of the human race toward ever higher objectives. If the universities discharge their duties adequately then it is well within the nation and the people” Poor Mr Nehru must be rolling in his grave.
There are also certain academic debates which I find rather one-sided. So how many school children even know that there are two view points on the crucial question ‘who are we?’ Aryans? Dravidan? Eastern Europeans? South Asians? Who are we? What were we before? In fact the major debate is between the Aryans as central-eastern Europeans nomads invading and destroying the Dravida-Indus Vally civilisation to build their own edifice of a civilisation; which is popularly known as ‘Aryan Invasion Theory’ or the AIT. Other the other hand there are scholars who are of the opinion that there is nothing called Aryans and Dravidans, we are all just south-Asians and everything we see today originated and grew here; it is popularly known as Out of India hypothesis. The debate is still inconclusive and we still do not have a concrete proof as to who is right. But how many of us even know about these theories as a part of our school curriculum? Not many. Are children in India learning these possibilities? No? every Indian kid only knows that Aryans were invaders and they destroyed Indus valley civilisation. Therefore a perpetual fissure between the Aryans and Dravidian is perfectly valid. What are these teachings and text books except for being divisive at best and devious at worst? Another element is the wilful ignorance of Muslim brutality on Hindus in the medieval period. As a student of History during my under-grad, I read only two lines about Jaziya, temple destruction, conquest, subjugation and conversion of Hindus. No more than that. All these indicate a lot of social turbulence between the Hindu and the non-Hindu communities, lot of blood, lot of violence but how much of it do we know as a part of structured syllabus? None. (More or less S.L.Bhyrappa’s views here, I could never agree more) Even after studying Tippu Sultan for so many many years I did not know his missionary zeal to persecute Hindus till S.L.Bhrappa’s controversy and the associated press coverage!! Is it not strange? Just that I studied the syllabus and texts prescribed by the great Bangalore University. Why should not we learn history as it happened? Instead learn politically palatable history? On the other hand tt is interesting to note that when ever the Hindutva supported academic groups comes to power, any attempt to revise school textbooks is termed as ‘saffronisation’ etc which is a well known bull crap.


The other voice I hear is the hard core Hindutva voice. I cannot even say it is Hindutva, because I have very strong reasons to believe that many people today who speak of Hindutva do not even know what they are talking about. I do not believe in hate mongering, I do not believe in orthodoxy, I do not believe that women should be confined to kitchen, I do not believe that preserving our tradition means having to dress in a particular way, I do not believe in tradition meaning not wearing lip-stick or cutting my hair. But there are fire band leaders who are interpreting Hindutva along these very particular lines. They also happened to be gifted speakers trying to hijack the Hindutva plank for their own selfish reasons. That is how controversy is created around Ram Temple, Ramsethu, which has now extended to attack on women in pubs, those wearing jeans, those wearing modern outfits! The BJP incidentally benefitted from the Ram Janma Bhoomi issue though they failed to do anything significant about it. They also abandoned Uniform Civil Code thereby enabling Mr Mohan to marry Ms Arundati aka Fiza! So my country is a secular land where Hindus can never be equal to non Hindus. They also abandoned article 370. However they resorted to eye wash action like attack against Valentine’s day, attack on women in pubs, attacking women wearing modern dresses. The valid successors of ideologues like Swami Vivekananda, Veer Savarkar they have debased themselves so much that today thy are all but just thugs waiting for their turn to make money. Of course I identify with none of these myself as a jeans wearing, pub-going, freedom loving, modern but devout Hindu with a large number of non-Hindu friends. Of course if anyone did come to me and say I better wear a Saree instead of my usual pair of jeans, I did say ‘go to hell’.

This is pretty much who I am. So the question is who represents me better? Who will safeguard my interests? Where is the voice that speaks for me, identifies with me and understands me? I am looking for this voice which will let me know the history of my civilisation in its entirety, not only politically palatable parts, I am looking for a voice that will let me know more about the injustices and persecution my forefathers went through, I want to know what were the temples that were destroyed, what eventually happened and when, I also want to know how different Hindus were treated differently, I want to know the previous societies with all its flaws and problems. I want to know how people coped up with all those problems. It means so much to me because it answers big questions that I have about myself – ‘who am I’, ‘where did I come from?’ and ‘now that I am here, where were we before?’ I want a voice that will criticise me when I am irrational, at the same time, criticise others irrespective of their religious orientation when they are irrational. I want a voice that will not put me into disadvantage because of my religion or gender. I want a voice that will give me the reassurance that I am not marginalised and I am being heard. I want a voice that will guard my sanity, freedom, history, present and future. I want a voice that will respect me, love me and make me feel wanted for what ever I am, irrespective of my religion, race, sexual orientation, gender, etc. I want the objects of devotion to be as holy to everybody else as it is me. I want a voice that says destruction of Ramsethu amounts to damaging Hindu beliefs (ecological effects apart), I want a voice that will respect Rama the same way as it would say Prophet or Jesus. I want a voice that is blind and fair; if Rushdie’s and Nasreen’s books are to be banned, so should M F Hussain’s. On the contrary if Rushdie and Nasreen’s books are published, let M.F.Hussain be allowed to do more nudes of his choice may it be Saraswati or Madhuri who cares. But let there be level playing field. I want a voice which will tell me to be proud of being a Hindu and not be apologetic for having celebrated Dasara or Deepavali. I want a voice which did treat me more like a human being rather than a voting head. I want a voice that condemns the action of a minority chief minister disrespectful towards one of the holiest of Hindu shrines. I want a voice that will speak against the practice of government alone managing Hindu temples while Mosques and Churches are not. I want a voice that will speak against subsidising non-hindu pilgrimages abroad at the same time confiscating the Hindu temple collection.
These are my desires as the election dates are announced and India readies to elect another government for another five years. But what do I hear? Devil here and a deep sea there, I am stuck between these two and still searching for something to call my own; Just the two extremes and the political parties ready to squander money during elections just so they can make more later. All I see is opportunistic shameless figures, ready to be strange bedfellows just for the sake of money….

Tuesday, January 20, 2009

Sandalwood

Sandalwood, or Srignadha in Kannada is so much associated with Karnataka the land, the culture and of course Kannada cinema. The state is also called the ‘citadel of Sandalwood’ or Gandhaga Gudi. It is something found in every Kannadiga Hindu homes as it is one of the most important ingredients in the process of pooja. I was indeed taken aback to read that Australia is currently the largest cultivator/producer of ‘Indian’ sandalwood. What a disgrace.
Historically speaking, the entire ‘spice route’ trade revolved around spices and aromatics like Sandalwood. Rich Romans coveted for exquisite Sandal fragrance along with Musk. Musk of course is long gone, we have indeed killed all the poor creatures. Musk Deers as dead as Dodo in today’s India, we who grew up post liberalisation were too late even to understand and appreciate the mention of ‘Musk’ in poems. Looks like our children will feel the same way about Sandal wood.
I remember, we had a couple of Sandalwood trees in our farm long back. One sombre night, smugglers chopped the trees away in minutes using an electric saw. The incident was rather surprising because we had never heard of an electric saw. Felling big trees like those meant a full day’s work, not something a few unemployed kids could think of doing. The trees were not mature enough to be harvested. The adults in the house kept cursing the smugglers, because the trees were at least 20 years from maturity. It would have probably served for the one of the daughters’ wedding! May be may be not.

It was then that I can came to know Sandalwood was not like any other tree. My uncle had to go to the police station to register a complaint about the tree smuggling. That is because, we had reported the existence of the tree to the forest department and technically all the sandalwood trees were owned by states, that we had to inform the state about the smuggling. Hmmm. Where did all these regulations lead us to?
There were so many restrictions on cultivating, trading Sandalwood. Individuals could not cultivate Sandalwood with the government owning all the known trees and being the sole agency to sell the harvested trees as well. So where is the incentive for people to start investing in Sandalwood cultivation? There is none. People did not even bother to replace what ever was being stolen. This is a classical case of misplaced inceptives.

Of late however things have slightly improved. The government of Karnataka has liberalised the cultivation of Sandalwood that is there is no need to procure license to cultivate Sandalwood, therefore enabling the possibility of large scale plantation of tree.
The question however is whether liberalising cultivation is just an incentive good enough to prop up production of Sandalwood even though the trade of Sandalwood has not been liberalised. It is still not convincing! Why should an enlightened democracy act like a medieval monarch demanding all the luxuries of the land unto himself? Why is that there should not be a free market for Sandalwood and it’s derivatives? If there can be a free market for Gold, Silver, Diamond why not for Sandalwood. If there is a free market, there will be certain price signals which will determine if it is worth taking the pains of growing a crop with a gestation period of 40-60 years, risking smugglers et al? If it does not look attractive, we are just good importing all of our demand from Australia, after all they still do not have smugglers and Veerappans out there. If certain investors feel they can make money in the long term and it is a good idea to be planning Sandalwood saplings, let them by all means.
If a market – a mandi for trade in Sandalwood is established, it would just be as commercial a crop as say coconut. What is required is not the absolute regulation of the sandalwood trade, but a framework where such a trade is seamless and fair, just like any other commodity market. What is the need for the special privilege even though the privilege does not seem to have worked out. It is time we act otherwise we might permanently loose out on the market to Australia.

Tuesday, January 6, 2009

Food prices- Take II

Second take on the food price issue. I was just browsing through wiki and came across the documentation of the food price rise issue. Surprisingly, after all that has been said and done, the article still mentions, India and China’s middle class as one of the most important causes for the rise!! The claim has been refuted by the World Bank, FAO and other non-partisan research institutions. Not surprisingly the claim has been upheld by groups fighting for self-interest including the Renewable Fuel Association. There are a few questions that arise in the context of falling prices in the recent days.

1) Not long ago, analysts and consulting reports on Wall Street devoted reams and reams of paper on the commodity story. How crude oil production had peaked and how it might hit $200 (Goldman Sachs). Same with agriculture commodities, how bio-fuels especially corn based fuel was going to be the next big thing, after all with $200 a barrel crude oil, corn based bio-fuel looked very lucrative. What happened to all that? Why is crude oil having a free fall?

2) What about the growing demand for meats in India and China, did food demand pattern which evolves over a long period of time suddenly change that commodities are falling as well?

3) President Bush pledged a $770 million international food aid. While the US farm bill pledges $288 billion aid and subsidies to farmers in United States including those with an annual income of not more than $750,000 or ¾ million dollars! What does that mean? It is a joke being played on the international community and the developing world?

4) Besides, USA is also preventing the cheaper and more eco-friendly Brazilian sugarcane derived bio-fuels, while forcing poor African and Asian nations including India to open up their markets for agricultural goods. This is clear case of the King can do no wrong; What ever be the clauses in WTO, what ever rule might the country apply on other countries, it is simply not applicable to the mighty A!!

Now for the answers

1) Yes Goldman Sachs et al were right when it said oil was going to hit $200. After all they were sitting on cash piles, the stock markets were weak, and emerging markets started showing signs of trouble, so how to make ridiculous profits? Play a game, not very different from that of roulette at Foxwoods! Looking to make money on assets, they started probing the commodities markets. A few reports here and there warning of dooms day scenario and upcoming incredible increase in prices was just a story they all needed. So smart fellow wrote the first report, and the analyst herd follows and lo behold, a lot of money, own and borrowed went into commodity trading. When prices kept edging up and up, those who had prophesised the price rise profited. They made a lot of money. It was self-fulfilling just like the run on a bank. The recipe is very simple… something like this

· Buy crude on commodity exchange

· Write reports on how crude prices will increase, create market hysteria. (Not difficult for market biggies, herd mentality, we all follow them)

· Keep buying till others start buying leading to increase in prices of the commodity already brought

· Once the price is high enough, start selling for a profit; you created a bubble and made profits from it.

· If smart you will stop right there, if not you will keep buying hoping to sell later at a even higher prices, only to loose everything

· Because bio-fuels and crude are substitutes, demand for bio-fuels expected to go up and an identical speculative bubble forms

· Corn and food grains are substitutes, and transmission of price hike to food grains.

Bingo another bubble created. This last bubble turned out to be pretty dangerous, because it affects very survival of millions across the globe. While there were food related riots in Haiti, India, Pakistan and a host of poor countries, Wall Street made profits.

Now what is happening now?

Recession: It is incredible that these intelligent people at Wall Street are waking up to thoughts of recession so late? It is obvious that during recessionary periods the demand for crude is so much lesser given the slow down in industrial production, slow down in transportation etc. So there was bound to be a price reduction and its transmission through to food grains. Were they who wrote all these reports and created this hysteria, not aware of the impending recession? Everyone knew about the recession right in the beginning of 2007, were not we? The only question back then was when we will bottom? So the demand they were forecasting was phoney. Their ‘ceterus paribus’ could not have worked and in all probability they knew it very well. What remains is greed, to make as much as possible before it gets worse. Make as much hay when the even as the sun sets. That is what happened. Thankfully crude did not hit $200, I wonder how much the wall street made and lost just on the crude trade. Hand in glove with crude were corn and its bio-fuels. Bio-fuels naturally became the next big thing. Because corn is a food grain and most food grains are substitutes, the price bubble of corn, quickly spread into other food grains and a vast array of food products including edible oil. Unfortunately, all those people at the helm of the fiasco will naturally go scot free. They have always been unaccounted for and will remain so.

Increased consumption of food in emerging markets: So how did all of a sudden, folks in India and China started eating less and contributed to the fall in prices of food? Wonder what Wall Street Journal has to say about it J. I am still not able to believe that as recent as last week, there was an article in WSJ attributing the food price rise to emerging markets, just like Pakistan in a denial mode even after its citizens were apprehended for the blatant crime in Mumbai!!! The only improvement is that they sort of acknowledge the role of bio-fuel policy as well.

Free Markets! What a joke. It is a situation of ‘Trishanku Swarga’

Those who want to profit will invariably do it whether it is a free market or a restricted market. Just that in a free market, it is legal to do what would probably be legally punishable in a restricted market. It is just this resignation that there are scores of people, here there and everywhere who are easily the victims for no fault of theirs that makes me feel, nothing actually matters….